Verification and validation of detonation modeling

The mathematical model used to describe the detonation multi-physics phenomenon is usually given by highly coupled nonlinear partial differential equations. Numerical simulation and the computer aided engineering (CAE) technique has become the third pillar of detonation research, along with theory and experiment, due to the detonation phenomenon is difficult to explain by the theoretical analysis, and the cost required to accredit the reliability of detonation products is very high, even some physical experiments of detonation are impossible. The numerical simulation technique can solve these complex problems in the real situation repeatedly and reduce the design cost and time stunningly. But the reliability of numerical simulation software and the serviceability of the computational result seriously hinders the extension, application and the self-restoration of the simulation software, restricts its independently innovational ability. This article deals with the physical modeling, numerical simulation, and software development of detonation in a unified way. Verification and validation and uncertainty quantification (V&V&UQ) is an important approach in ensuring the credibility of the modeling and simulation of detonation. V&V of detonation is based on our independently developed detonation multi-physics software-LAD2D. We propose the verification method based on mathematical theory and program function as well as availability of its program execution. Validation is executed by comparing with the experiment data. At last, we propose the future prospect of numerical simulation software and the CAE technique, and we also pay attention to the research direction of V&V&UQ.     

稳态法测量热系数的计算方法改进研究

不良导体热系数测量普遍采用的是稳态法，但表面散热率的间接测量和样品侧面散热与漏热给测量带来一定误差，使得热系数实际测量值略微偏大。介绍了新的实验装置和实验数值计算方法，并且分析研究了样品边缘（侧面）热损失的物理模型，提出了新的数学模型和数据处理方法，纠正了这些偏差，与实验吻合较好。     

Optimal redesign decisions through failure rate estimates

To reduce the time-to-market of newly developed systems, manufacturers increasingly adopt strategies where systems are brought to market while system field reliability is still uncertain. These systems are typically sold under performance-based contracts, which incentivizes potential customers to invest in them despite reliability uncertainty. Such contracts make the manufacturer (partly) responsible for the availability of the system. Subsequently, when field reliability is lower than anticipated, the manufacturer may choose to redesign the system to avoid high contract penalties. Redesign is a costly effort which may substantially increase field reliability. Deciding when to redesign is challenging, especially because the initial failure rate estimate by the system's engineers is refined over time as failure data accrues. We propose a model that endogenizes the failure rate updating to analyze this tactical redesign decision. We study additive and multiplicative redesigns and show that the optimal policy has a control limit structure. We benchmark our optimal policy against a static counterpart numerically, and conclude that basing redesign decisions on the updated estimate of the failure rate can substantially reduce costs.     

塔康信标扩展数据广播抗噪声性能分析

为扩展塔康信标数据广播功能,保持同导航功能的兼容性,分析了信标信号格式和系统要求,提出了基于OOK、PPM、DPSK的数据广播方法,将数据信号插在基准群之后播发。研究了高斯白噪声对3种数据广播信号的影响,分别推导出3种数据广播系统误码率公式。仿真结果表明:抗噪声性能从好到坏依次为OOK信号、DPSK信号、PPM信号;信噪比大于15 d B时,DPSK同PPM误码率基本相同,均小于6×10-5。同时,由于PPM方法数据广播速率高于OOK,实现复杂度低于DPSK,具有较好的综合性能。     

数据驱动的复杂系统非预期故障诊断通用过程模型

提高对复杂系统非预期故障诊断能力是故障诊断领域的难点。结合非预期故障诊断内涵及基本原理,构建了一种用于复杂系统非预期故障诊断的通用过程模型。该模型采用四层递进结构,包括四个主要模型,即预期(已知)故障检测模型、预期(已知)故障识别模型、非预期(未知)故障检测模型和非预期(未知)故障识别模型。分析了各模型所包含的关键问题及其相应的实现算法,包括检测统计量的构建及评估、故障特征方向提取、故障识别器设计及故障贡献率计算。该通用过程模型规范了复杂系统非预期故障的诊断流程,明确了数据驱动的实现原理。以卫星姿态控制系统为例,验证了非预期故障诊断通用过程模型的有效性。     

低功率霍尔推力器阳极供气环工程设计关键参数仿真

为了提高低功率霍尔推力器放电通道内中性原子分布均匀性,采用有限元方法对阳极供气环关键结构参数进行优化研究。针对双腔式阳极供气环结构,重点分析了缓冲腔容积比以及缓冲腔隔板导流小孔数量等关键参数对阳极供气均匀性的影响。研究结果表明:随着缓冲腔容积比的增大,阳极供气环出气孔差异率先快速减小后趋于稳定,其中当容积率k=1.0时,平均差异率和最大差异率分别为1.77%和3.79%;隔板间导流小孔数量从8增加到14时,出气孔差异率呈现浴盆曲线特性,其中导流孔数量为10时,平均差异率和最大差异率分别为1.8%和3.8%。研究结果可为霍尔推力器阳极供气环工程设计提供理论支撑。     

Allocation of two redundancies in two‐component series systems

The allocation of redundancies in a system to optimize the reliability of system performance is an interesting problem in reliability engineering and system security. In this article, we focus on the optimal allocation of two exponentially distributed active (standby) redundancies in a two‐component series system using the tool of stochastic ordering. For the case of active redundancy, stochastic comparisons are carried out in terms of the likelihood ratio and reversed hazard rate orders. For the case of standby redundancy, a likelihood ratio ordering result is developed. The results established here generalize and strengthen corresponding results in the recent literature. In addition, several numerical examples are used to explicate the results. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

长码直扩信号的符号速率盲估计方法

针对长码直接序列扩频(DSSS)信号的符号速率估计的难题,提出了基于相关处理的方法。该方法首先估计长码直扩信号的相关函数二阶矩,然后将相关函数二阶矩的估计作为输入信号进行预处理,以去除扩频码周期处的峰值。对预处理后的信号再次进行自相关处理,则所得的信号的频谱中含有符号速率谱线。理论分析和计算机仿真证明了所提出的算法的有效性。     

化学键合胶凝材料抗硫酸盐侵蚀性能

采用浸-烘循环的方法模拟干湿循环交替环境进行新型化学键合胶凝材料抗硫酸盐加速侵蚀试验.侵蚀溶液为质量浓度为5％的硫酸钠溶液,一组试验采用全浸-烘循环,另一组试验采用半浸-烘循环.在经受30×N(N=1,2,3,4,5)次循环后,测定试件的强度耐蚀系数和质量损失率,以此评价化学键合胶凝材料抗硫酸盐侵蚀性能.试验结果表明:半浸-烘循环的侵蚀比全浸-烘循环的侵蚀严重;在经受150次侵蚀循环后,试件外观无严重破损,质量不减反增,强度也不降低,说明化学键合胶凝材料具有优良的抗硫酸盐侵蚀性能.     

潜艇自航式诱饵组合使用方法

潜艇自航式诱饵组合使用方法的优劣主要评判依据是使用的方法最终使得潜艇对抗鱼雷成功的概率,对抗时间和诱骗距离是影响对抗成功概率的两个重要因素,它们又主要围绕发射时机、初始航向以及潜艇机动等几个问题展开。通过分析各个诱饵的作战使命,在一定态势下,根据诱饵的性能、鱼雷报警距离及舷角等各方面因素,建立大小口径声诱饵协同作战的弹道模型,并由此得到了诱饵发射时机、初始航向等参数。